Trump may be subject to two trials as a Georgia grand jury weighs an indictment
The indictment in Georgia might result in harsher punishments than New York and undermine Trump's grievance argument.
A Manhattan grand jury indicted former US President Donald
Trump on Thursday, and it's thought that the accusations might put him in
serious danger. A grand jury in Georgia's Fulton County, however, has the
potential to prosecute Trump on a distinct set of charges, making an indictment
there much more significant than one in New York. Here are five justifications:
Initially, the grand jury in New York was apparently
looking into if or how Trump could have hidden the hush money he sent to adult
film star Stormy Daniels in October 2016. On the other hand, the Fulton County
grand jury may accuse Trump of attempting to thwart the constitutional transfer
of power.
Second, the key piece of evidence in the Georgia case
against Trump appears to be a recorded phone call Trump made to Georgia
Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger on January 2, 2021, in which Trump
requested that Raffensperger "find 11,780 votes," which is exactly
one more than he required to overturn Biden's victory in Georgia. Inculpatory
recordings are the best type of evidence for prosecutors.
Finally, the foreperson of the Fulton County special grand
jury that looked into Trump allegedly recommended the indictment of several
individuals in February. Hence, the likelihood that a defendant may
"flip" and testify against the kingpin increases as the number of
defendants does, which helps the prosecution's case.
Fourth, while the New York indictment is still secret, analysts think the Manhattan grand jury may have concentrated on the
accusation of first-degree business record falsification. The maximum prison
term for it is four years. Georgia's anti-racketeering law and allegations of
meddling with elections, which have potential punishments of 10 and 20 years,
respectively, may be on the grand jury's radar.
Last but not least, a second Georgian prosecution would
undermine Trump's complaint. Trump's assertion that a single prosecutor is out
to get him is one thing, but it is quite another to assert that two separate
grand juries presided over by two separate prosecutors in two separate states
have no case. Furthermore, both prosecutors are more motivated than they
typically are to demand overwhelming evidence before requesting that a grand
jury issue an indictment. Both are aware that acquitting Trump or even a
deadlocked jury would probably result in their dismissal as district attorneys.
a Georgia indictment might be even more significant than
the significant indictment of Trump in New York. The evidence against Trump is
solid, and the prospective charges in Georgia are far more serious than those
in New York. A conviction in Georgia would result in far harsher punishments,
and a second trial would undermine Trump's complaint. If both prosecutors did
not fully feel they had the evidence, they would not have risked their careers
and reputations by filing such significant prosecutions against such a
well-known individual. At a time when Mar-a-Lago is already having problems, a
significant Georgian indictment might make matters even worse for the former
president.
The lawsuit may have an impact on democracy and the next
elections.
For the future of American democracy, a Georgia indictment
accusing Trump of planning to rig the 2020 presidential election might have
far-reaching consequences. It would convey the message that such actions are
wrong and that those who take part in them will face consequences.
Future politicians or officials who might be tempted to
meddle in elections or misuse their positions for political gain may find this a deterrent. Demonstrating that even the most powerful people are
subject to the law, may also assist to regain public confidence in the
democratic process.
The case may have an effect on the GOP's future course.
A Georgia indictment may have effects
on the Republican Party's future strategy. If Trump is shown to have been
involved in a plot to rig the election, this might widen the rift inside the
party between those who support him and those who want to take the party in a
new way.
Moreover, it may influence the 2022 midterm elections by
motivating Democratic voters and perhaps alienating moderate Republicans who
are uneasy with Trump's hold over the party. More investigation of the GOP's
electoral strategy and techniques may result, which may have an impact on
subsequent elections.
Overall, an indictment in Georgia could be even more
significant than one in New York due to the potential charges, the evidence,
the likelihood that co-conspirators will be charged, the potential penalties,
the implications for democracy, the potential effects on the GOP's future
course, the impact on Trump's grievance claim, and other factors.
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